The Revolutionary Research

The Revolutionary Research

Boolean and Macroscopic Analysis of November 2018 Protests in Tehran Province

Document Type : Original Article

Author
Mehdi Rafiei Bahabadi
PhD in Sociology, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran
10.22034/fademo.2023.399878.1008
Abstract
The purpose of the present study is to explain the protests of November 2018 in Tehran province. In theories related to protest action, several conditions for the potential or occurrence of protest action have been mentioned. In this research and based on related theories, 6 conditions of migration and its wide consequences, feelings of deprivation and dissatisfaction, objective deprivation, cultural factors, objective injustice, use of media encouraging protest and perception of the structure of political opportunity and usefulness of protest to explain The occurrence of a protest action in November 2018 was considered. In this article, the Boolean analysis technique was used to discover the necessary or sufficient conditions for the occurrence of protests in November 2018 in Tehran province. In the end, 4 sufficient conditions for the occurrence of protests in Tehran province were verified, which are the condition of feeling deprivation and dissatisfaction in 3 scenarios, the condition of cultural factors in 3 scenarios, the condition of using media encouraging protests in 3 scenarios, the condition of objective deprivation in 2 scenarios and the condition of perception. From the structure of the political opportunity and finding the protest useful in 2 scenarios, there is the condition of the consequences of massive migration in one scenario.
Keywords
Protest Action
Deprivation
Feeling Deprived
Political Opportunity Structure
Cultural Factors
Media Encouraging Protest
Subjects

  • - آپ، کارل دیتر (1395). جنبش اجتماعی و اعتراض سیاسی. ترجمه مجید عباسی، تهران: انتشارات پژوهشکده مطالعات راهبردی.

    - جانستون، هنک (1398). جنبش اجتماعی چیست؟ ترجمه سعید کشاورزی و مریم کریمی، تهران: نشر ثالث.

    - دلاپورتا، دوناتلا و دیانی، ماریو (1384). مقدمه ای بر جنبش های اجتماعی. ترجمه محمدتقی دلفروز، تهران: نشر کویر.

    - دیکچ، مصطفی (1401). خشم شهری؛ شورش طردشدگان. ترجمه مجید ابراهیمپور، بنفشه خسروی و نیما شکرایی، تهران: نشر چرخ.

    - مرکز افکار سنجی دانشجویان ایران (ایسپا) (1398). گزارش بررسی نگرش شهروندان استان تهران در خصوص اعتراضات آبان 98.

    • Barnes, S.H, Kaase M. (eds).(1979). Political action: mass participation in five Western democracies.Sage. Beverly Hills, 203–214
    • Dalton, R.J.(1988). Citizen politics in Western democracies. Public opinion and political parties in advanced industrial democracies. Washington, DC: CQ Press
    • Eisinger, P.K.(1973).The influence of socio-structural variables on identity management strstegies. In W.Stroebe & M. Hewstone (eds) European review of social psychology, vol. 4. Chichester. England: wiley, 27-57.
    • Gamson, W.A. (1968). Power and discontent. Dorsey, Homewood
    • Gamson, W.A.(1990).The strategy of social protest. Belmont, CA: Wadsworth Publishing company.
    • Gurr,T.R. (1970). Why men rebel, Princeton University Press, Princeton.
    • Inglehart, R.(1990).Culture shift in advanced industrial society. Princeton University Press, Princeton.
    • Jasper, J. M.(1998). The Emotions of Protest: Affective and Reactive Emotions In and Around Social Movements. Sociological Forum, Vol. 13, No. 3.
    • Jenkins, J. C & Perrow, C.(1977). Insurgency of the Powerless: Farm Worker Movements (1946-1972) Chapter 4 (37-51) in McAdam & Snow, American Sociological Review, 42. 249-268.
    • Jennings, K.M, Van Deth J.W, Barnes S.H, Fuchs D, Heunks F.J, Inglehart R, Kaase M, Klingemann H-D, Thomassen JJA (eds).(1989). Continuities in political action: a longitudinal study of political orientations in three Western democracies. De Gruyter, Berlin/New York
    • Mahoney, J. (2001). Beyond correlational analysis. Sociological Forum, 16 (3), 575- 593.
    • Norris P, Walgrave S, Van Aelst P. (2005). Who demonstrates? Antistate rebels, conventional participants, or everyone? Comp Polit 37(2), 189–205.
    • Olson, M.(1965). The logic of collective action. Cambridge, MA: Harvarad university press.
    • Piven, F. F. & Cloward, R. A. (1977). Poor People’s Movements. New York: Vintage Books.
    • Ragin, C. (1987). The comparative method. Berkeley and Los Angeles: University of California Press.
    • Ragin, C. (2004). Replies to commentators. Qualitative Methods: Newsletter of Political Science Association, 2 (2), 22-25.
    • Rihoux, B. (2008). Case-oriented configurational research: qualitative comparative analysis (QCA), fuzzy sets, and related techniques. In The Oxford Handbook of Political.
    • Tarrow, S. (1998). Power in Movement. 2nd edition (New York: Cambridge University Press).
    • Tarrow, S & Tilly, C. (2001). Dynamics of Contention. Cambridge University Press.
    • Van Deth, J.W. (1995). Introduction: the impact of values. In: Van Deth J.W, Scarbrough E (eds) The impact of values. Oxford University Press, Oxford, 1–18.
    • Zhao, D. (2000). State–society relations and the discourses and activities during the 1989 Beijing student movement. American Journal of Sociology, 105, 1592–1632.

The Revolutionary Research
Volume 1, Issue 1 - Serial Number 1
August 2023
Pages 283-305

  • Receive Date 26 October 2022
  • Revise Date 06 November 2023
  • Accept Date 29 April 2023